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COVID-19
and the Heart

A landmark Swedish study reveals significant cardiovascular risks following COVID-19 infection, highlighting the need for vigilance beyond respiratory symptoms.

Published

August 14, 2021

Journal

The Lancet

Lead Author

Fors Connolly AM

COVID-19 has proven to be far more than a respiratory disease. While the world initially focused on pneumonia and lung damage, mounting evidence revealed that SARS-CoV-2 could trigger severe complications throughout the body including the cardiovascular system.

Our research team set out to quantify this risk using Sweden's unique registry data, analyzing all confirmed COVID-19 cases in the country during the first wave of the pandemic. What we found was striking: COVID-19 infection dramatically increases the risk of heart attacks and strokes, particularly in the first weeks following diagnosis.

This study, published in The Lancet in August 2021, represents one of the largest and most comprehensive analyses of COVID-19's cardiovascular impact, drawing on data from over 86,000 patients.

86,742
COVID-19 patients in study
348,481
Matched control individuals
8.4x
Increased MI risk in first week
6.2x
Increased stroke risk in first week

Key Finding

COVID-19 is an independent risk factor for acute myocardial infarction and ischaemic stroke

Even after adjusting for age, sex, and cardiovascular risk factors, COVID-19 infection significantly increased the risk of these acute cardiovascular events.

The Swedish Advantage

Sweden's comprehensive registry system provided a unique opportunity to study COVID-19's cardiovascular effects at a population level. Every Swedish resident has a personal identification number that allows researchers to link data across multiple national registers, creating a detailed picture of health outcomes.

We could access inpatient records dating back to 1987, outpatient data from 1997, and cause of death records, all linked to confirmed COVID-19 diagnoses from the Swedish Public Health Agency. This allowed us to identify cardiovascular events with high precision and track patients over time.

What We Measured

The study examined two major cardiovascular outcomes: acute myocardial infarction (heart attack) and ischaemic stroke. We used two complementary statistical methods to ensure our findings were robust.

The self-controlled case series method compared each patient's risk during the weeks following COVID-19 to their own baseline risk, controlling for individual differences. The matched cohort study compared COVID-19 patients to similar individuals from the general population who hadn't been infected.

Risk Over Time Following COVID-19

Week 1

8.4x

MI risk increase

Highest risk period for cardiovascular events following diagnosis

Week 2

2.5x

MI risk increase

Risk remains significantly elevated but shows decline

Weeks 3-4

1.6x

MI risk increase

Risk still above baseline, requiring continued vigilance

A Critical Time Window

Our data revealed a clear temporal pattern. The risk of cardiovascular events was highest immediately following COVID-19 diagnosis, with an 8-fold increase in heart attack risk during the first week when including the day of diagnosis.

This elevated risk gradually declined over the following weeks but remained significantly above baseline even 3-4 weeks after infection. The pattern was consistent for both heart attacks and strokes, suggesting a shared underlying mechanism.

The findings held true even among patients who weren't hospitalized for COVID-19, indicating that even milder infections carry cardiovascular risk. This has important implications for how we monitor and protect all COVID-19 patients, not just those with severe respiratory disease.

"These findings indicate that acute myocardial infarction and ischaemic stroke represent a part of the clinical picture of COVID-19, and highlight the need for vaccination."
Study conclusions, The Lancet 2021

Rigorous Methodology

Self-Controlled Case Series

Each patient serves as their own control, comparing their risk during the post-COVID period to their baseline risk. This eliminates bias from individual differences.

Matched Cohort Study

COVID-19 patients matched to four control individuals by age, sex, and county. Quantifies excess risk compared to the general population.

Comprehensive Data

Sweden's national registers covering inpatient care, outpatient visits, cancer diagnoses, and causes of death, all linked through personal identification numbers.

Sensitivity Analyses

Multiple analyses tested robustness, including examining the impact of diagnosis day and adjusting for the Charlson Comorbidity Index.

Clinical Implications

Full Citation

Katsoularis I*, Fonseca-Rodriguez O*, Farrington P, Lindmark K, Fors Connolly AM. Risk of acute myocardial infarction and ischaemic stroke following COVID-19 in Sweden: a self-controlled case series and matched cohort study. The Lancet. 2021;398:599-607. doi:10.1016/S0140-6736(21)00896-5

*Co-first authors